Global Economic Update and Investment analysis Sultan Karachiwala This herald highlights the factors and events effort the global economy and also present a short and long term outlook on diverse investment classes. Although the global economy is surge ahead, with emerging markets driving lots of the growth, continued risks lurk and dampen the outlook for much of the developed world. The main risks are a looming trade war between major economies, most notably US and China, surging budget deficits in developed economies, struggling consumers in US, and at long last high interest rates. The US economy is still sluggish, with revise estimates for growth fall to 2.2% from 2.5% in the 3rd attract, and predicted 4th quarter growth rate locomote from 3.5% to 3.0% on an annualized basis. Inventory restocking and line of business spending on IT and infrastructure, which was driving much of the growth therefrom far, has supposedly fallen. This , coupled with anemic consumer spending and high class debts, spell a slow recovery in the country. residential investment is expected to full 13% after falling 26% in the 3rd quarter and business mulish investment will rebound moderately after falling substantially in the 2rd quarter.
Growth momentum will demoralize building again in the next few months, only when not convincingly enough to avert at least some additional easing action from Fed officials dark-skinned towards more stimulus. Unemployment is still stubbornly high at 9.6%. the rise in new claims in September reversed the empty in the previous two weeks, with the level back to or so the 464000 per week pace averaged in the first half of the year. The convening is consistent with no improvement from the recent sluggish class in employment growth but no real reversal either. Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, Europe has started to reduce their budget deficits, which are at alarming levels. The lost tax revenues during the recession expect worsened each countrys net deficit, forcing major... If you lack to get a full essay, order it on our website:
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